XFL Picks Against the Spread – Week 5

XFL Picks Against the Spread for Saturday, March 7, 2020

Last week, DFS and BETS went 4-1 with our XFL Picks Against the Spread.

It looks like Vegas bookmakers are using standard power rankings in creating their XFL lines and somewhat basic offense versus defense stats to generate the totals. This week’s spreads and over/unders are nearly spot on when using these methodologies.

Our homemade power rankings and score generator uses the standard stuff as our baseline with some tweaks. Let’s breakdown the matchups and our plays.

SEATTLE DRAGONS at HOUSTON ROUGHNECKS (-11.5) Total 47.5
MVP frontrunner, quarterback PJ Walker leads the XFL’s only undefeated team against the 1-3 Seattle Dragons. Houston’s top scoring offense faces a Dragon defense that’s let up the third most points in the first four games.
On the other side of the ball, Seattle’s offense is tied for the second lowest point total against a defense that’s tied for giving up the most. Seattle back up QB, BJ Daniels adds a real running threat and jumpstarted Seattle’s offense last week. He’ll be the difference and should keep the Dragons within striking distance.
The PLAY: DRAGONS +11.5

NEW YORK GUARDIANS at DALLAS RENEGADES (-6) Total 37
Dallas’ starting QB, Landry Jones is out. Backup Philip Nelson started week one against the St Louis Battlehawks and managed to put up nine points with an interception and no TDs. In a brief fill in role last week, Nelson was 1 for 3 for 11 yards against the Roughnecks.
New York’s defense is OK, a little bit better than the league average, but their offense stinks, by far the XFL’s worst. Bad offense, questionable quarterback play on both sides…
The PLAY: UNDER 37

XFL Picks Against the Spread for Sunday, March 8, 2020

TAMPA BAY VIPERS at LOS ANGELES WILDCATS (-3) Total 43
With one win, the Vipers have underachieved compared to their pre-season expectations. They travel all the way across the county to face another one-win team in the WILDCATS. Tampa’s D has been a little better than the league average and LA’s offense has scored the third most points.

However, the Wildcats have given up the most points in the league through four games (tied with Houston). But, they’ll be defending the second lowest-scoring XFL offense.

Our analysis says both sides will try to run the ball, which should eat up the clock and keep it close with scoring at a premium.
The PLAY: UNDER 43

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