NBA Picks Against the Spread for Sunday, March 1, 2020
DALLAS MAVERICKS (-5.5) at MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES Total 242.5
The Mavs aren’t afraid to play on the road with a 20-10 record, whereas the Timberwolves, well, they don’t win just about anywhere, just 7-21 at home and 6-21 ATS. Although it’s tough to take Minnesota in this spot, our projections say the Wolves getting 5.5 could be too much. It also says the total is too high.
The PLAY: TMIBERWOLVES +5.5
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (-13.5) Total 219
Philly is short their two stars, Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. They don’t stand a chance against the Clippers, but Vegas knows this and set the line a little high according to our methodology. The total, however, is not high enough.
The PLAY: OVER 219
TORONTO RAPTORS at DENVER NUGGETS (-2.5) Total 220
Toronto is coming off a beatdown by the Milwaukee Bucks, they aren’t alone. This looks like a good matchup on paper as the Raptors are 19-8 away from home and the Nuggets protect this house with a 23-7 record. While their outright records are strong, Toronto is 14-13 against the number on the road and Denver is 14-14.
The PLAY: RAPTORS (+2.5)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS (-1.5) at NEW ORLEANS PELICANS Total 235.5
LeBron and Davis versus Zion, Ball and Ingram part II. The late show vets got the better of the young, fast paced gazelles a.k.a Pelicans in last week’s meeting in Tinseltown. Our model says the game is up for grabs, but the total might be too far up.
The PLAY: UNDER 235.5